Community post

The Best Time to Post on Steemit

I have collected some data from the blockchain to try and answer the question: what time of day should you post?

We all want to maximize our rewards on Steemit. The best way to do so is to improve the quality of our writing, pick new/interesting/underrepresented topics, and be creative. But there may be another factor at play: the time of posting.

https://farm5.staticflickr.com/4036/4352532193_1c05480f0d_b_d.jpg
"time" by bigbirdz on flickr (CC-BY)

It seems obvious that publishing your post at 4 am in the morning will not yield a lot of exposure, and thus, result in fewer votes. The ideal time of posting varies wildly between different web sites, as it depends on the user demographic.

Thanks to the open nature of Steem, we can get a list of all posts ever made, the time they were posted, and the rewards they got, all in a computer-readable format. This data can be used for a statistical analysis of our question. Let's do it!

My theory

I would expect the majority of Steem users are living in America or Europe. The prime time is likely in the evening, as that is when most people will come home from work / school / other commitments.

If you are aiming for the front page, you may want to post a few hours earlier than prime time, to account for the time it takes for your post to gain steam (no pun intended) and reach the front page. You want to be already on the front page when the rush hour starts.

Based on these assumptions, I would guess the ideal publishing time to be around 6 PM Central Standard Time.

The script

Now let's get down and dirty with the blockchain. I quickly hacked together the following python script. It is fairly simple and could be improved in a number of ways. Interestingly I am using both piston and python-steem as there seems to be currently a bug in piston that prevented me from doing the stream_comments part with piston.

from piston.steem import Steem
from steemapi.steemnoderpc import SteemNodeRPC
from collections import Counter
from datetime import datetime

counter = Counter()
postcounter = Counter()

start_block = 3145790 # 2016-07-12

rpc = SteemNodeRPC("ws://localhost:8090")
steem = Steem(node="ws://localhost:8090", nobroadcast=True)

for c in rpc.stream("comment", start=start_block):
	if c["parent_author"]:
		continue # only interested in posts, not comments

	try:
		post = steem.get_content("@" + c["author"] + "/" + c["permlink"])
	except:
		continue

	dt = datetime.strptime(post.created, "%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%S")

	print("\n" + str(dt))

	payout = float(post.total_payout_value.split(" ")[0]) + float(post.pending_payout_value.split(" ")[0])

	counter[dt.hour] = counter[dt.hour] + payout
	postcounter[dt.hour] = postcounter[dt.hour] + 1

	for i in range(24):
		if postcounter[i]:
			print(str(counter[i] / float(postcounter[i])))
		else:
			print("0")

To run this script, you will need a local steemd node. When running steemd, disable standard output like this: ./steemd --rpc-endpoint &> /dev/null, else the log output will slow things down tremendously.

The script will print a list of numbers, that is the average payout value for posting at each hour of the day.

The result

Paste the numbers into LibreOffice and we get a nice graph.

This graph shows the average Steem Dollar payout per post (vertical axis) vs. the time of day these posts were published (horizontal axis, GMT).

https://i.imgsafe.org/f041656725.png

As you can see, there is a clear trend showing that posts published between 22:00-23:00 GMT (17:00-18:00 CST) earn the most rewards.

Unfortunately the data set for this experiment was limited (2016-07-12 to 2016-07-19). I wanted to use a larger data set, but I was hitting connection reset errors on certain blocks that prevented me from doing this. I am unsure if the bug is in python-steem, steemd or somewhere else. If anyone can help me resolve this, please let me know. Steem is very new tech so there are some kinks left to be worked out!

Finally, note that correlation != causation! Take the numbers with a grain of salt. In germany we have a nice saying: traue keiner Statistik, die du nicht selbst gefälscht hast (Don't trust a statistic you didn't fake yourself) ;)

Replies (29)

I am so sorry guys, there was a bug in my code!

The problem was, that when a post is edited, it appears again on the blockchain, and so was counted again. So, some posts were incorrectly getting counted multiple times.

Here is the corrected graph and the corrected code:

https://i.imgsafe.org/11e62e8a28.png

from piston.steem import Steem
from steemapi.steemnoderpc import SteemNodeRPC
from collections import Counter
from datetime import datetime

counter = Counter()
postcounter = Counter()

start_block = 3145790 # 2016-07-12

rpc = SteemNodeRPC("ws://localhost:8090")
steem = Steem(node="ws://localhost:8090", nobroadcast=True)

counted = set()

for c in rpc.stream("comment", start=start_block):
	if c["parent_author"]:
		continue # only interested in posts, not comments

	identifier = "@" + c["author"] + "/" + c["permlink"]

	if identifier in counted:
		continue

	counted.add(identifier)

	try:
		post = steem.get_content(identifier)
	except:
		continue

	dt = datetime.strptime(post.created, "%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%S")

	print("\n" + str(dt))

	payout = float(post.total_payout_value.split(" ")[0]) + float(post.pending_payout_value.split(" ")[0])

	counter[dt.hour] = counter[dt.hour] + payout
	postcounter[dt.hour] = postcounter[dt.hour] + 1

	for i in range(24):
		if postcounter[i]:
			print(str(counter[i] / float(postcounter[i])))
		else:
			print("0")

This new graph is a little all over the place, but there are still some tendencies.

But I guess that timing doesn't matter that much after all, as posts can remain on the frontpage for a whole day or longer.

I did warn you that I could be wrong! Let's hope I'm right this time :)